Updated Tuesday 9:30 AM.....We are going into the time of the year for the battle of the seasons. I always called it March Madness in weather.
The GFS has some wild swings in the weather over the next couple of weeks which takes us into March.
The map on the left is for Friday evening. Much colder weather moves in for the start of the weekend.
Ahead of that system the SPC has a 5% risk for severe here for Thursday night. The SPC is calling for a significant outbreak of severe storms for areas from Mississippi to Georgia. The severe weather is likely to continue across the remainder of the southeast of Friday.
By Sunday, we are back into a southerly flow with rapid warming ahead of the next front which will bring chilly weather back for the early and middle of next week.
During the mid-week period next week, the GFS brings a snow system across the Ohio Valley.
The following weekend, March 4-5, another warmup happens ahead of the next front with thunderstorms and possible severe weather again. This will be followed by a day or 2 of cooler weather.
By mid-week of the following week, a sunny, warm pattern develops that should bring temperatures into the 70's. :)
The usual line is given here about don't follow these models to a specific type of weather on a specific day, but this kind of gives you the general trend setting up for the next couple of weeks.
I can remember you used to post this kind of info as well so I thought maybe this one just got by you.
http://www.indystar.com/article/20120221/NEWS/120221016/4-0-magnitude-quake-shakes-Indiana-8-other-states?odyssey=tab|topnews|text|IndyStar.com
From JB....thanks, I have been volunteering all day. Got a quick post in during a break but did not hear about the quake. Thanks for the heads up.....
Posted by: Chris R | February 21, 2012 at 11:54 AM
Yer Smallness, the way the models have been running for the past 4 months I can't buy any of this even in the most general way, surely you don't either!!!!!!
From JB....I kinda buy the trend for a couple of cold snaps and then warmer. I believe snow when I see it....JB
Posted by: Rm | February 21, 2012 at 12:22 PM