Updated 9:00 AM Saturday..... The 06Z NAM (left) has gone north again bringing .25" of moisture to Louisville. Some of this would be rain. As the storm system moves out of Mexico to a better data field we will find out this morning if there is any further shift to the north with the 12Z run.
The GFS doesn't show that shift with less than .10" of precip.
The GEM has shifted north about 30 miles in the last 12 hours bringing an an inch or so of snow to Louisville and heavier to the south.
The UKMET is pretty much keep this to the south.
The ECMWF has Louisville on the northern edge of the snow Sunday morning.
NOGAPS has the northern edge of the snow just south of Louisville.
The JMA is still the most aggressive for snow with 3 to 5 inches of snow for Seymour down to Louisville. This has been the odd model out that last several days. Either it will be a bust or score the biggest model win of the winter.
AccuWeather has shifted the coating to 3 inch totals to the south of Louisville and the 3-6 total into southeast Kentucky.
Here are the snow accumulation forecasts from the NWS......
Louisville: no accumulation
Lexington: 2-3"
Bowling Green: 2-3"
Richmond, KY: 3-5"
Taylorsville: up to 2 inches
Bardstown: 1-2"
Springfield: 2-3"
Danville, KY: 3-4"
Lebanon: 2-4"
Hodgenville: 2-3"
Leitchfield: 1-2"
Campbellsville: 3-4"
Somerset: 2-4"
Hazard: 2-6"
Southeast KY above 2,000 feet: 4-8"
Pikeville: 2-6"
Bridge update: The WAVE3 LIVE DRIVE was the first vehicle to cross the westbound portion of the Sherman Minton bridge last night when it reopened after being closed for 162 days.
new nam has 6" for etown (shifted north)
Posted by: chrisb | February 18, 2012 at 10:19 AM