Dress for temperatures in the teens and 20s. If you have plans this morning you'll have to battle the two f's...fog and frost. After the fog fades off welcomed sunshine will help warm us today into the mid 40s. Despite being chilly, today's weather will be the pick of the next 5 days. If you have to finish up your Christmas shopping today and the first half of the day today will be your best bet...I'll explain why in this blog.
RAIN, STORMS, 60's, and SNOW...UH OH
To say the days leading up to Christmas will be complicated, is an understatement. A powerful cold front will throw all types of conditions our way starting as early as tomorrow. It's easy to see what I mean by the graphic below. With alot of you hitting the road to see family and friends this week, travel will be huge, and Mother Nature doesn't want to be upstaged. A look at travel conditions below will also hit home the point that I'm trying to make...get ready for a wild ride. :)
TIMING IT OUT...
We are still a few days away from the arrival of Tuesday's front, which will easily impact Christmas Eve and Christmas day. I'm confident about WHAT we'll see...it's the timing that will need to be adjusted as we start the week. After going over the latest data...here is my thinking as of Sunday morning.
SUNDAY: Starting cold with morning fog. Afternoon sunshine with temperatures in the 40s.
TONIGHT: Partly cloudy with lows in the 20s in the suburbs and low 30s in Louisville.
MONDAY: The first half of the day we'll see increasing clouds, but will stay dry. Rain will develop ahead of a cold front and impact areas West of I-65 by tomorrow afternoon/evening, before overtaking all of the area Monday night and into Tuesday. As warming winds pick up tomorrow temperatures will surge into the mid 50s.
TUESDAY: This will be the worst day of the week, and a tricky forecast at that. Heavy rainfall is likely on and off all day. A few thunderstorms can't be ruled out, too. Temperatures, despite the clouds and rain, will warm into the low 60s for most of us. As the front approaches the wind will pick up too...sustained around 15-20 miles per hour, with gusts to 40mph. As the front slides through the region overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning the heaviest of the rain will slam Wave Country. We'll have to keep a close eye on isolated flooding as well.
WEDNESDAY: Christmas Eve Day will feature a lot...lets break it down into two parts. Wednesday morning we'll see heavy rainfall with temperatures in the upper 50s to near 60. The wind will continue to gust to start the day. As the front exits the area temperatures will fall QUICKLY by Wednesday afternoon/early evening. (Remember...the timing of the front will make all the difference. If it passes earlier in the day on Wednesday colder temperatures will overtake the area sooner...compared to if the front passes later in the day on Wednesday the cold blast would be delayed...and a changeover to snow would also be delayed.) Yes...I said snow. So as the temperatures fall, should we see moisture still around...that rain could change to some snow by Christmas Eve and linger into early Christmas morning.
CHRISTMAS DAY: That means we could start the day with some snow showers or flurries. The intensity of these won't be known until we get closer to late next week...but buttom line, some snow is possible on Christmas Day. A full on "White Christmas" looks slim...but still worth watching. Temperatures will be cooler on Thursday with highs in the 30s and 40s, with some gusty winds. Some sun looks possible later in the day on Christmas.
MAKE SURE...to check back with us. This really is a complicated forecast and timing is key with holiday travel. Stay with the Wave 3 Weather team for the latest updates. Have a great end to the weekend!