Sorry for the late posting today. It has been a busy one.
Short term: watch out for slick spots tonight. I know it is Friday and many of you have holiday parties and such...just take it slow and steady out there as you head into subdivisions and such. Sidewalks remain the most dangerous right now with one hospital alone reported 200 ice fall injuries yesterday.
The light snow/flurries should ease as we head into tonight.
Long term: 3 storms to watch and track between now and 2011. So here we go!
STORM 1 (next monday/tuesday)
This one is going to be another complicated one. I wish we just get all rain or all snow to make things easier, but the model tracks vary so much that the risk is there for ice yet again. Frustrating.
This is a clipper system. One interesting note about those is that they love the ride the edge of the snow cover. As you can see below, that would take it on a track that would favor snow.
I think that is a possibility. The UKMET agrees and so does the EURO. The GFS....not so much. It trends north with the track bringing the decent snows into IL/IN/OH. In fact, here is the GFS snow map for that event: (NAM doesn't go that far yet)
So we need more time for the models to iron this out still and get a handle on it once it gets over the Rockies.
Early guess right now I would suspect advisories to be issued on this one with slick roads Tuesday AM.
STORM # 2 (Christmas Eve/Day)
This one will get a lot of pressure due to its timing. And it looks almost...perfect. The storm above is forecast to create a block over the far NE. That should mean the next system would be a southern storm...not a cutter to the Lakes. That would put it in a track for snow here in KY.
I do think it runs a risk of rain or snow on the EVE, but by Christmas DAY...it should be all snow. And for some, it will be an accumulating snowfall. Keep your fingers crossed!!
STORM # 3 (New Years Eve)
Notice the holiday theme here? Mother Nature must have holiday parties to avoid.
This looks to be another storm in the Ohio Valley.
But plenty of time to iron out those details.
Lots of talk of how things look in January. I do not see any signs of a major pattern change right now. Though, to keep an active winter pattern lasting that long is very rare. And would make huge headlines if it happens. More on that soon.
I am on the evening shows tonight so I gotta start working on maps...and will be away from the blog for awhile.
Have a goode one!