Obviously, the heat the big story.
Our first Heat Advisory of the year is now out ----for Thursday. Excessive Heat Warning out for counties controlled by the Indy NWS office. (Air Quality and a Red Flag Warning (fire danger) alerst are also in effect)
Keep in mind, different weather offices have different criteria for advisories/warnings. So it does not mean Indiana will be hotter than Kentucky---just that they feel the impact will be greater as that population does not get as hot as areas to the south. Gets confusing I know, but the point in all of these alerts is that it will be hot---and you need to take it easy. Simple as that.
It will be a pretty dramatic jump in temps. 90-92 today....only to jump about 10 degrees tomorrow! Latest models keep us around that 99-105 degree zone through the weekend.
There will be a front that will dry to create a "storm zone" if you will to our north over the weekend. This is very typical of a July weather pattern.
We will have to watch the complexes of storms to our north as they will dive south/east from IL to OH. Question is---will any of them clip our area?
SPC does have a 5% severe risk out for that zone Saturday. We'll watch it carefully---we need the rain--but these types of storms would have very high winds. We don't need that in our area.
Early next week, it looks like the heat is going to try and reorganize itself. That means the focus will shift a back west a bit. That will allow a slight drop in our heat...but nothing dramatic.
There is the chance that heat (100 degrees) would once again move BACK in later next week or that weekend.
It is hard to say that for sure as long range heat waves like this can always be thrown off by the tropics. We will have to see how "Debby" behaves next week too.
As far as the 4th of July. It looks hot, but with the heat pushing west a tad---this would allow storm chances to rise to that 20 % range.
This would be true for both the 3rd and 4th of July (depending which you are celebrating on).
Take it easy outside folks. We have had hot summers before---just always tough to adjust to the first very hot one.