As of June 13th...here are the stats:
LOUISVILLE INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT (official site for Louisville records)
Average Temperature: 70.3°
-3.3° below normal
Rainfall .50"
-1.28" below normal
In comparison, how others stand compared to their normals
BOWMAN FIELD Temp: -2.3° Rainfall: -1.53"
LEXINGTON Temp: -3.8° Rainfall: -1.00"
FRANKFORT Temp: -3.8° Rainfall: -1.37"
BOWLING GREEN Temp: -2.6° Rainfall: -1.53"
So how does the rest of June look? Well at least in short-term, hot and dry.
Temps will increase into the low 90s all the way through the middle to latter portion of next week.
There will be a risk for pop up storms Saturday. They look isolated, but slow-movers so if you get one--you could easily pick up some decent amounts of rain.
Sunday, the NAM/GFS vary on how to handle showers storms moving in from the Midwest.
GFS: keeps them mostly at bay Sunday to our north/west ...fading once they get closer to us.
NAM: actually brings in the "leftovers" of showers into the area.
I think anything that approaches us will weaken. We could get the cirrus clouds blow-off from the storms to our west...but rainfall doesn't look impressive right now. We'll watch the radar carefully and there are changes---we will let you know. Otherwise, plan for a hot/humid weekend.
Next week---the pattern looks to be dominated by 3 features.
1) Cold front in the Midwest...aiming toward us by late next week.
2) Orographic thunderstorms along the mountains. Mostly east KY.
3) Gulf tropical system...increasing rain threat there.
The aforementioned cold front in the Midwest varies some from GFS/EURO...but passage of this front should be next Thursday-Saturday timeframe. That will be our next shot at a more widespread rain event. Such timing would keep the tropical system and its moisture to our south.
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