Some minor changes with the latest SPC outlook.
SLIGHT RISK still for us...expanded a bit more west to line up better with the instability and matches the HRRR model well.
Tornado Risk (small) Large Hail (15%, but higher than last night) Wind (still max at 30%)
As posted on facebook earlier, the HRRR model has done well lately with this pattern---so putting weight in this latest model run of storms developing over the next 2-3 hours across IN ...and moving through the metro through the evening rush---then south/east of the Metro by 8pm.
Moisture convergence is showing up nicely to our west---storm initiation likely in this zone.
EHI scans are low--but do point up to a low risk for rotation with the storms with this event.
We will monitor the trends and I would not rule out watches and warnings coming out.
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