Storms continue to develop along a moisture axis to our west. That is where SPC has the SLIGHT RISK for severe this late day/tonight.
Some of it may drift close to our western counties this evening---but dry air over us should limit its eastward movement.
Btw--- record today in Louisville is 99. Last check we are: 97.
The storm threat tomorrow will continue to be centered around a vort max that will pass through the area.
The storms look spotty in nature---but some strong ones cannot be ruled out. SPC is keeping us in the 5% risk for now---but some portions of the region may get updated to SLIGHT RISK later on. We'll watch it.
The weekend is a bit more unclear.
There will be a line of storms moving toward us Satuday night. It may clip us overnight into early Sunday. How intense is unclear as timing of day likely will play into our favor in keeping the storms in a weakening mode.
Depending on how the above turns out...will determine how Sunday afternoon turns out. If we break back out in sunshine quick enough Sunday morning...with the front still to our west---a new line may develop in the afternoon hours before heading east.
That 2nd line on Sunday likely would be the strongest. The winds are decent aloft of about 30 to 40kts. So damaging winds are a threat.
After the front passes---dry air takes over in the Ohio Valley Mon/Tue---so it will feel nicer.
Notice the GFS is picking up on what will be "ERNESTO" next week...aiming toward southern TX.
Still too early to know what will happen with this one. We will keep you posted.
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