Weather Blog: Latest Thoughts on Weekend

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August 30, 2012



The HPC has been pretty aggressive about rainfall amounts. I know the rainfall amounts have exceeded model guidance. However, historically, tropical systems tend to weaken and lose a lot of their initial moisture feed.

Therefore, I expect the HPC to show robust amounts for the region; however, we should remember that those maps only show the POTENTIAL (caps for emphasis) for SOME areas in specific shaded regions to receive those amounts. Not everyone will see those totals. Most areas should average 1-3", somewhat higher in 'training' bands.

**** WWW -- that is why we are going with 1-3 with 4" amounts possbile. - bg

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