RECAP…Early morning showers and isolated storms have come to an end across the area. It was nice to see some good ole fashion rain without being concerned about severe weather. Some folks may have thought severe weather was developing due to gusty winds around 1:00 this afternoon. While we didn’t have any severe thunderstorms the culprit for the wind was a gravity wave. These are difficult to explain but in simple terms it’s when a frontal boundary causes a “ripple” in the upper levels of the atmosphere. This results in brief gusty winds. So if you were curious where the strong winds came from there’s your answer. :) Now let’s look ahead to tonight because while it’s not storming now the threat for storms isn’t done completely.
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH…has been issued for Western KY, Southwestern IN, and Southern IL. The watch does NOT include any of Wave Country. It basically encompasses areas that are under the previously issued Slight Risk
MY THOUGHTS…Storms have started to fire to our West. These storms have the potential to become strong/severe over the next few hours. The big question remains…by the time they get here will they be severe? There are a few reasons why the likelihood of severe weather for us is low. Here’s why…
The morning rain/storms/clouds have kept our atmosphere pretty stable much of the day. As predicted, areas that see sun will become increasingly unstable. This is a reflection of why the watch is positioned to our West…sun returned in Illinois for much of the afternoon, temps warmed into the mid 80s, atmosphere became unstable, and the WATCH was issued. The cloud deck continues over much of WAVE Country…this is keeping temps in check and as a result we remain stable. It’s also a race against the clock…we lose the sun, daytime heating, and severe threat diminishes…so if we had 6 more hours before the sun were to set we’d have a better shot at severe weather…bottom line, severe weather threat is very low for the WAVE 3 viewing area.
RAIN IS POSSIBLE THOUGH…We have just enough instability near us we could see a few isolated showers/small storms over the next few hours. Should you get stuck under a shower/storm it will be short lived.
LOOKING AHEAD…A shower is possible tomorrow especially in the first half of the day as we warm to a high near 82 degrees. We’ll be watching another late week cold front that looks to have a bit more giddy up with it. We’ll warm dramatically come Thursday with highs in the low 90s (above average) Storms will return Friday…we’ll watch for strong/severe storms. After the front passes much cooler air arrives for the weekend with highs in the 70s. That will mark the second weekend in a row of AWESOME weather…lets keep the streak going! :)