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HEADED OUT THIS EVENING?
You'll want to keep an eye on the thermometer!
Temperatures are expected to hover near the freezing mark. However, there's a chance that the mercury could dip a few degrees lower in a few places. If that happens we'll be in for a bigger mess on area roads. Below, I explain the difference in the precipitation types at play.
WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY (north of Louisville)
In effect for Orange, Washington, Scott, Jefferson, Jackson, Jennings & Lawrence Cos., IN until 10AM Tuesday. This includes: Paoli, Salem, Scottsburg, Madison, Jasper, Seymour, North Vernon & Bedford.
Light snow may begin to intensify and accumulate later this afternoon. Accumulations may range close to one inches in the advisory area... with temperatures near or just below freezing... slick spots will be likely.
TRAVELER'S ADVISORY MIDNIGHT to 10AM TUESDAY
USE CAUTION... There will likely be a few slick spots develop overnight into early Tuesday morning. The advisory from the national weather service Louisville includes: Marengo, Tell City, Corydon, New Albany, Jeffersonville, Hawesville, Hardinsburg, Brandenburg, Leitchfield, Elizabethtown, Fort Knox, Mount Washington, Shepherdsville, Louisville, La Grange, Bedford, New Castle, Shelbyville, Frankfort, Taylorsville, Lawrenceburg & Bardstown.
A developing storm system over the southern plains will bring the potential for a wintry mix of precipitation from counties either side of the Ohio River to the bluegrass region of Kentucky during the first hours of 2013.
As is often the case in the Ohio Valley - the dividing line between rain and snow will occur within the region with a mixture of snow, sleet and even isolated brief freezing rain - all possible in the area. While accumulations of frozen precipitation are expected to remain light - less than an inch - areas of slick roads will likely occur.
This storm system remains highly complex and a slight shift in its track could have a larger impact on precipitation type and totals. Caution should be used if traveling tonight or tomorrow as some slick spots could develop.
MODEL MADNESS
I ran the BUFKIT 12Z for the NAM & GFS... I also included the SREF.
You'll see the NAM is a little more aggressive in bringing in the chance for freezing rain. The warm layer is pretty shallow - so if it occurs it wouldn't last long. However, we all know a little bit of freezing rain can cause major problems! All in all - I wouldn't let the weather cancel any of my plans. I would however, be prepared... take a little extra time and use caution!
FORECAST
Here's a rough idea of what I think will unfold later tonight.
The highest chance for any accumulating snow, which will be light (around 1") will be across southern Indiana. Lower total as the warmer air working farther north... that means more of a mix around Louisville and just to our south (rain, sleet & snow) - even a brief period of freezing rain possible if temperatures get cold enough at the surface. Worth watching!
DIFFERENT TYPES OF PRECIPITATION... WHY?
TUNE IN - IMPACT: The Weather of 2012
The WAVE 3 Storm Tracking Team has been working over the past several months... looking back at the wild weather of 2012. We've had a lot of it! We invite you to join us for our hour-long presentation. The sights, sounds and stories of the weather of 2012... some you've heard and some you've not. I traveled back to Henryville - I'll tell you the story of Lenora Hunter, who lost her husband, Wayne as the storm slammed into their home. Christie traveled to Chelsea, IN, Lauren to Borden & Pekin, Brian went to Marysville... and Andy will deliver our 2013 Winter Outlook. We hope you'll tune in... Tuesday, New Years Day, on WAVE 3 at 7:00 PM.
HAPPY NEW YEAR!
From our entire team - we wish you nothing but the best in 2013!
Yea Buddy, you guys sure had this "storm" pegged from the start...lol. You sure you guys are meteorologists or just people who turn on the computer and hope that someone else knows what they are talking about?...lol. Well if nothing else you guys are good for making those of us who feel stupid feel much better about ourselves. I will keep watching though and who knows, some day (besides the middle os summer) you guys at WAVE may actually get a forecast somewhere in the ball park...lol.
*** LARRY - I'm sorry you feel like we've not hit the forecast. I've been on vacation for the past week. I did periodically check in with our staff and came in last Wednesday to help out. All in all, our forecast has been on track! Some people like to complain... and it's no secret you're one of them! All the best to you and your daugher in 2013. -KH***
Posted by: Daddyofjas | December 31, 2012 at 03:24 PM