Thundersnow tonight! I've had several calls, emails & facebook posts tonight about seeing lightning & hearing thunder. You're not crazy... that's what you saw and heard. A pretty rare event - thundersnow! Here's a capture of the radar from Thursday evening - showing the lightning strikes like we'd typically see with a summer-time thunderstorm! What causes Thundersnow? Thundersnow — when thunder and lighting occur during a snowstorm— most often appears in late winter or early spring. That's because the ingredients for thundersnow—a mass of cold air on top of warm, plus moist air closer to the ground—often come together during that time.
Thundersnow starts out like a summer thunderstorm. The sun heats the ground and pushes masses of warm, moist air upward, creating unstable air columns. As it rises, the moisture condenses to form clouds, which are jostled by internal turbulence. The "tricky part" for making thundersnow, is creating that atmospheric instability in the wintertime. For thundersnow to occur, the air layer closer to the ground has to be warmer than the layers above, but still cold enough to create snow—a very precise circumstance. Snowfall rates during a thundersnow event can reach two inches an hour.
Remember this Thundersnow? February 2, 2012 - Jim Cantore surprised by Thundersnow in Chicago.
1) Later tonight (very minor) 2) Tomorrow afternoon/night (light accumulations) 1 twix bar SCALE 0-10 3) Saturday afternoon (light accumulations) 1 1/2 twix bar SCALE 0-10 4) Monday-Tuesday (rain or snow) no twix count for this one yet
ODDS/ENDS 3 tornadoes confirmed so far---2 EF-0's 1 EF-1 ORANGE COUNTY, IN HARRISON COUNTY, IN MARION COUNTY, KY (with 2 injuries)
NWS needs your help with storm reports. Below is a map of areas of concern. GREEN areas has been looked at. RED areas MAY get looked at if they get enough info. So please let us know if you have any pics of damage. all_wave_weather@wave3.com is our email.
We will have a band of showers (gusty winds) that will pass with the cold front over the next few hours. Nothing severe expected.
LATER TONIGHT: Colder air will move in pretty fast ...changing any moisture in the area to light snow.
GFS and NAM bufkits both have the changeover time around 10pm.
Accumulations look limited...but with temps crashing so fast into the 20s...a dusting is possible..esp east of I-65 along I 64. Just be alert for a few slick spots in the morning in case the winds don't get a chance to dry the roads out.
THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING This will be the first of many "clippers" we will face the next few days. This one actually will develop OVER the region---so nailing down the timing/amounts is a challenge. Overall, it looks very "showery" with the snow showers with this one. A few spots may see as much as an inch...some a dusting...some just a few flurries. It is too difficult to nail down locations on that with it not even on the maps yet.
GFS: Gives us light amounts
NAM: again...light accumulation risk
Obviously, if you get caught under one of those heavier snow showers---roads can get slick---so be alert..especially after sunset.
SATURDAY AFTERNOON The next clipper lines up and heads our way. This one has a bit more moisture with it because the wind turns briefly south. As always, a south wind will make temp profiles tricky as we will have a modest warm up. Right now, the overall trend looks to be all snow north of the parkways...and a mix or all rain south of the parkways. In the all snow areas--- 1" again looks possible---but a few ensembles hint that some banding is possible that may spit out a couple of 2-3" amounts. We aren't going that high yet this early with uncertainty on how much warming will take place. But we will keep that in mind as we continue forward.
The NAM is showing more of a rain profile..but the NAM has done HORRIBLE lately ...so discounting it for now.
MONDAY/TUESDAY Yet another clipper. But temp profile varies. GFS says rain. EURO says snow. I would lean toward the EURO only because any accumulations from the previous 2 clippers should drive the storm track more south...than north. Amounts don't look heavy at this time.
6:16 All tornado warnings have expired across the area. The severe weather threat is done for all of Wave Country. Steady rain and gusty winds continue this morning. Watch for debris on the roads and standing water.
6:06: Law Enforcement in Marion County reports damage to a mobile home. Injuries to a child are reported.
6:05 Update from Intern Sid Abramson -- I am handing the blog over to Christie and Lauren to take care of the rest of the morning. For most of our area, the risk for severe weather is over. 2 warnings out for our far eastern and southeastern areas. This is all almost out of our viewing area.
5:55: NWS has issued a Tornado Warning for our far eastern area of Adair County. There is some rotation showing up again on the radar. This barely clips our viewing area so we will stay on live until this moves out of our area.
5:53 AM -- Reports now that the power has been fully restored in the city of Indian Hills. We assume that a lightning strike or wind gust caused an outage at the substation for that area.
5:50 AM -- The Severe Thunderstorm warning for Nelson and Taylor counties has been allowed to expire.
5:45 AM -- We have recieved a 47 MPH wind gust in Adair County when that storm cell passed over. Reports coming out of Hillview that a residents trampoline is in a tree. That is not officially confirmed but would not be surprised to see NWS check that area out for possibly a brief touchdown while there was some rotation earlier this morning.
5:38 AM -- Our latest thinking on rainfall is that most areas will see around 1-2 inches of rain. All tornado warnings have been allowed to expire although Severe thunderstorm warnings are still in effect for eastern areas until around 6:05 AM. Some high winds are possible but for the most part, heavy rain will be the main impact at this point. The threat for severe weather is diminishing quickly now.
5:34 AM -- The tornado watches are now expired for most areas in Central Ky, including Louisville Metro. Watches are still in effect for eastern areas until this line moves out. There have been NO reports of tornado touchdowns or major damage, in addition to no injuries due to wind damage. This is why we work so hard to forewarn our viewers for the potential severe weather, especially during the overnight hours when most are asleep.
5:32 AM -- Some debris is being reported on the roadways with power outages. A transformer fire is being reported in PRP. Heavy rain is now the main story for Louisville during the next 1 to 2 hours. While many viewers are headed out to work, take it slow and be careful for any downed power lines and trees.
5:29 AM -- The tornado warning has expired for Henry County and will soon expire for Adair County while the other half of Adair County is under a severe thunderstorm warning. Severe thunderstorm warnings still remain in effect for other eastern areas before this moves out of our area.
5:24 AM -- We still have two tornado warnings in effect for Henry County until 5:25 AM and Adair County until 5:40 AM. The Henry County warning will expire in minutes. Severe thunderstorm warnings are in effect for Franklin, Washington, Shelby, Spencer, Taylor, Green, and Marion counties in Ky until around 6:05 AM. The main threat is isolated wind gusts but for the most part, the risk will be diminishing to a heavy rain event. The weakening trend continues and this entire system will begin to exit our viewing area within the next 30 minutes.
5:13 AM -- Damage reports coming in from PRP in Louisville. Trees and power lines being reported down. It is important to remember to stay away from any downed power lines.
5:10 AM -- JUST IN: A TORNADO WARNING is now in effect for Henry Co until 5:25 AM. This is yet again for the risk of a brief rain wrapped tornado. A Tornado Warning now in effect for Adair County until 5:40 AM. Take cover if you are in this areas.
5:06 AM -- 2500 customers are reportedly out of power in the Hillview area. More power outages being reported in the southern areas as well as eastern areas of Jefferson County, KY.
5:02 AM -- JUST IN: JCPS will be running on a normal schedule this morning. This is in part due to the early timing of the storms through the Metro. If the arrival time would've been 2 hours later, this may have been different.
*Strongest storms remain to the south of the Metro area. Another 10-15 minutes left in these warnings.
5:00 AM -- MSD is reporting some backup with the sewage system so for the next several hours, it is reccomended to stay away from creeks and riverbeds, along with areas that are prone to flash flooding. Heavy rain is the main threat for the next several hours. The wind threat can't be ruled out yet but for the most part, the severe threats are beginning to diminish quickly.
4:57 AM -- The weakening trend is now beginning with the entire squall line. All tornado warnings are expired and the Severe thunderstorm warning that was in effect for Louisville, Clark Co and Floyd Counties in IN has been allowed to expire. Others are in effect until around 5:20 AM
4:52 AM -- Areas to the south of Louisville are now under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning. This includes Hardin, Hart, Larue, and Nelson counties until 5:20 AM. The tornado warnings are now expired for Louisville and Bullitt counties.
4:46 AM -- The threat for tornadoes is now beginning to diminish although the warning is still in effect until 4:55 AM. As this entire squall line moves east, it will become more and more linear, which will result in more of a wind event than tornado event. In addition to the winds, heavy rain will be of concern this morning as 1 to 2 inches is possible.
* Another power outage of over 1000 residents in the Indian Hills area has been reported. More reports coming in regarding power outages.
4:40 AM -- No major damage reports yet for the city of Louisville. Power outages being reported but nothing major, it is very isolated at the time. Areas near Ft Knox did recieve winds up to 60 mph. We are keeping a close eye on this developing situation. The threat will begin to transition to our eastern counties soon. The warning is still in effect for Louisville and Bullitt county. Remain in your safe spots until these warnings expire in about 12 minutes.
4:37 AM -- The Tornado WATCH that was in effect until 5:00 AM has been extended to 12:00 p.m. today for most of the area that was already in that. We do NOT anticipate the risk to last theat long but for safety they are extending it. The risk should end within the next couple of hours.
4:35 AM -- The strongest winds with this cell moving through Louisville is pushing through the eastern parts of the area: St Matthews, Lyndon, Fern Creek, and areas further east. If you live in these areas, you need to now take cover in preperation for this storm cell. MANY severe thunderstorm warnings are in effect in addition to the Tornado Warnings for Louisville and Bullitt counties. Be prepared for these tornado warnings to possibly be extended.
4:30 AM -- This potential tornadic cell is now approaching the Watterson Expressway corridor and nearing Uofl. It will then move towards downtown. It is ahead of this that the highest wind threat will be present. Up to 60 mph is possible.
4:26 AM --Severe Thunderstorm Warnings now out for portions of our area north of the river. The TORNADO WARNING for Louisville and Bullitt has been extended to 4:55 AM as this is an area for a quick spin up. Take cover, especially if you live in areas near Okalona and Fern Creek, Sheperdsville. We have a report of 60 mph wind gust near Ft Knox.
4:19 AM -- Reports now coming in that a small garage has been blown into the road in Caneyville in Grayson County. This was the part of the cell that is now moving through the Louisville area. Take cover if you are in any area that is under a Tornado Warning.
4:15 AM -- Folks, this particular cell will be moving northeast. It will effect the far southwestern parts of Jefferson County, Ky first and then move through the remainder of the county.Strong winds are likely with this cell. Gusts up to 50 mph are already being reported just southwest of the county. We are watching this closely.
4:12 AM-- JUST IN: Metro Louisville is now under a Tornado Warning until 4:30 AM. This also includes Harrison, Hardin, Meade, Buillitt counties. If any touchdown develops, it will be rain wrapped and hard to see. This is still about 10 minutes away so now time to prepare and take cover.
4:07 AM -- We are still watching the part of the line that effected Grayson County. This will be moving northeast and may clip the far southern parts of Metro Louisville in areas such as PRP. You may see some isolated 60+ mph wind gusts. We are keeping an eye on that as this moves NE.
4:03 AM -- Reports of a water rescue in Jennings County, IN. We are not sure of the exact location but will hopefully gather more information as we move through the next hour or two. More power outages are being reported a long with scattered trees being down. A reminder to viewers in the Breckinridge county area-- your sirens are NOT working so in the case that those are still needed, please be alert.
School delays are still coming in and you can keep updated with those by going to the Wave3 homepage and clicking the top part of the page for a full list. Stoplights are out around the entire viewing area so be careful when you leave for work early this morning.
3:57 AM -- The tornado warning for Grayson County has now been allowed to expire. The severe thunderstorm warning is still in effect for this area until 4:35 AM in addition to the other counties that are currently under the severe thunderstorm warning. Winds in excess of 60 mph are possible with heavy rain. The rotation is not showing up as much so the concern for tornadic activity has diminished for now. Based on radar trends, the event will be more focused on damaging wind gusts.
3:53 AM -- Some things to expect in Metro Louisville as this sytem approaches and moves through:
1) Blinding rainfall 2) Intense lightning 3) Winds 40-50 mph with risk for 60+ mph
3:51 AM -- 1300 Power outages being reported in Louisville so far. This is from Wave3's Chris McGill.
3:50 AM -- The Severe Thunderstorm warning for Grayson and Hardin counties have now been extended up to 4:35 AM. As of now, all warnings (which is a lot) are all slated to expire at 4:35 AM.
*Power outages are continuously coming in around the area as strong winds move in. Some outages being reported locally in Metro Louisville near St Matthews and near Churchill Downs. Lauren Jones is keeping Facebook updated with power outages around the area. Be sure to post any damage reports in the comment boxes.
3:45 AM -- SPC is monitoring our area ( mostly Central Ky and Southern IN) in regards to extending our Tornado Watch time. It is supposed to expire by 5 :00 AM. This may get extended further. We will be watching for their update. The line is approaching the county line now.
3:40 AM -- Severe Thunderstorms now out for Meade, Jefferson, Bullitt, Hardin, Breckinridge and Grayson counties in Ky until 4:35 AM. Warnings out for Harrison, Floyd, Clark, Jennings, and Jackson counties in IN until 3:45 AM. This includes the Metro Louisville. Winds in excess of 60 mph possible. Power outages and downed trees are possible so be on stand by in these areas. This is still away by about 20 minutes.
3:35 AM -- The tornado warning has now been allowed to expire in Breckinridge county but will continue for Grayson County until 3:55 AM
3:32 AM -- Damage reports now coming in just east of Salem, IN in Washington County. A roof has been blown off a residence. This is moving east so be on the lookout if you live near North Vernon.
3:30 AM -- We are getting reports from Emergency Management that sirens in Southern Breckinridge county are down and/or malfunctioning. Although this is only radar indicated, if you know anyone in this area, it would be important to contact them and give them the warning. These storms are about 30 minutes away from the Louisville Metro.
3:26 AM -- Tornado Warning now in effect for Grayson County (also Butler and Ohio counties outside our area) until 3:55 AM. This includes the city of Leitchfield. Rotation now showing up on radar. We are watching this cell closely as it tracks off to the east and northeast at a fast pace 70 mph.
3:24 AM -- The storm that is currently tornado warned is moving across the river as we speak. We are watching this closely as any risk for a touchdown would be rain wrapped and hard to see, which is what raises our concern of course. Numerous power outages are now being reported with some tree limbs down.
3:21 AM -- JUST IN: Tornado Warning now in effect for Meade and Breckinridge counties in KY and Perry county in IN until 3:40 AM. It is moving NE at around 60 mph which is very impressive. Rotation is showing up on radar, no reports of touchdowns or damage at this time. Damage is possible with this cell though as winds are fairly strong.
3:20 AM -- We are watching Grayson County carefully as the storm currently in this area is on the potent side and is still showing some slight rotation. For now, it is under a severe thunderstorm warning but we are keeping a close on it. Many areas still on the Kentucky side of the river are being watched closely.
3:14 AM -- Reports of trees down in Meade CO.
3:12 AM -- Orange County has now been removed from the Tornado Warning as the amount of rotation has decreased significantly. Washington and Perry Counties are still in the warning for another 10-12 minutes. No damage reports yet.
3:08 AM -- There were difficulties with the blog and connection but it is back up and running. As of now, we have 3 tornado warnings in effect for Washington and Perry counties in Indiana with several severe thunderstorm warnings around this same area. The storms are still right around an hour away from Metro Louisville.
2:45 AM -- We are keeping a close eye on the latest radar. There are areas to the west, on the Kentucky side of the river that are showing some "wiggles" in the main squall line. Also seeing some rotation on the radar returns so we are watching this closely as this progresses quickly off to the east.
2:42 AM -- Lauren Jones is monitoring downed trees and power outages locally. Reports of trees and limbs down in Louisville near 3rd Street and isolated power outages. We do expect these to increase in coverage with the winds that are being reported and are expected to arrive within the hour. It is important to remember that given the saturated ground, it won't take much for trees to be uprooted.
2:37 AM -- Severe Thunderstorm Warning is now in effect for another part of Perry Co, IN and Breckinridge County, Ky until 3:00 AM. This is for winds in excess of 60 mph.
2:33 AM -- Tornado Warning has been extended to 2:55 AM for Crawford and Orange Counties and now includes Perry Counties as well. This is radar indicated.
2:30 AM -- The tornado warning has now been allowed to expire in Dubois County. There is still some rotation showing up in Crawford and Orange counties. We are monitoring the situation closely. Louisville is clear at this point but storms are about an hour away.
2:27 AM -- We are now on live now with non stop coverage in regards to the Tornado Warning that is in effect for Crawford, Orange, and Dubois Counties in Indiana. We are also streaming live on the Wave3 News App. We are streaming live on 840 WHAS in the case we lose power.
2:21 AM -- JUST IN: TORNADO WARNING is now in effect for Crawford, Dubois, and Orange Counites in Southern Indiana until 2:50 AM. This is radar indicated but is showing some rotation. Severe Thunderstorm Warnings still in effet for Jackson and Jennings Counties until 3:00 AM
2:13 AM -- Reports still coming out of western Ky where a sturcture fire is now being reported out of Trigg County, Ky where damage was reported earlier in addition to power outages. We are continuing to watch the latest radar trends to the west as this line nears the Louisville Metro Area in the next 1-2 hours.
2:01 AM -- For viewers who have a smart phone and have the Wave3 Weather App downloaded, we are now live streming the radar when we are not live on air.
1:59 AM -- Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Perry County, IN until 2:20 AM
1:54 AM -- SPC Mesoscale UPDATE: The TORNADO WATCH that is currently in place is most likely to be extended further east into areas of Indiana and Kentucky. Here is their latest thinking:
TRENDS IN LATE EVENING/EARLY OVERNIGHT OBJECTIVE ANALYSES SHOWED THE AIR MASS DOWNSTREAM OF AN EWD MOVING SQUALL LINE WAS CONTINUING TO DESTABILIZE WITH MUCAPE INTO WRN AND CENTRAL OH UP TO 250 J/KG. DESPITE THE MARGINAL INSTABILITY...THE ONGOING DESTABILIZATION DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS COMBINED WITH A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ INTO THIS PORTION OF THE OH VALLEY /UP 80 KT AT THE SDF WSR-88D/ WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TO SUPPORT A THREAT FOR DAMAGING WINDS
1:50 AM -- Reported wind gust of 65 mph in Bloomington, IN near IU campus
1:46 AM -- For viewers with anyone in the Bloomington area near Indiana Univerity, reports of trees blocking some roadways. Trees contining to be reported down in the Brewers area where some structural damage was done.
1:38 AM --Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are in effect for Jennings, Lawrence, and Jackson counties in IN until 2:15 am for the risk of winds in excess of 60 mph.
1:37 AM -- Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Crawford, Dubois, Orange, and Perry counties in IN until 2:15 am. Winds in excess of 60 mph are possible
1:30 AM -- 50 mph wind gust has been reported in the Ireland area of Dubois County, IN
1:27 AM -- Trees are down in Lynn Grove, Ky as well as power outages. The warning in Murray, Ky will remain in effect for the next 10 minutes as NWS has states they are still concerned with the storms potential in regards to damaging wind gusts and slight rotation.
1:25 AM -- Report of a 8'' diameter, 40 foot tall tree down in the intersection of Hummingbird Lane and Sweetwater Trail in Brown County, IN.
1:19 AM -- Heads up to Breckinridge/Grayson/Hart Counties. Be on standby for possible severe weather as we are watching the storm in western Ky that has produced damage.
1:17 AM -- Update to the windows that were blown out in Brewers. We are recieving numerous reports of damage just west of Murray where there has been damage to a house as well asdamage to windows and a barn.
1:15 AM -- Tornado Warning is in effect for Bloomington and the campus of Indiana Univerisity so take cover for any viewers that are on the IU campus.
1:11 AM -- Reports of power outages on Maple Grove Rd. IN Trigg County, Ky.
1:06 AM -- Latest radar trends are showing this line now moving NE at around 70 mph. This is impressive speed and shows the strength of the wind field a loft.
1:02 AM -- Reports of winds that have blown some windowns out of a home in Marshall County, Ky. Also some rotation showing up on the radar just south of Murray. Other reports of street signs blown down in western areas.
12:55 AM -- Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Dubois County, IN until 1:35 am EST. Winds in excess of 60 mph are possible
12:52 AM -- JUST IN: Severe Thunderstorm Warnings are in effect for Jackson and Lawrence counties in Indiana until 1:30 am EST. Winds in excess of 60 mph are possible with this cell.
12:47 AM -- The latest observations from the Ky Mesonet site are showing statewide wind gusts of around 25-30 mph with some higher gusts to the west where the squall line is approaching.
12:34 AM -- NWS has released a Special Weather Statement for Orange, Dubois, and Perry counties in Indiana. These are the most likely areas that will have a warning soon. Here is their latest thinking:
A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ENTERING SOUTHWEST INDIANA WILL CONTINUE TO PUSH EAST...ENTERING DUBOIS COUNTY AROUND 1 AM EST. THESE STORMS WILL REACH ORANGE...CRAWFORD...AND PERRY COUNTIES IN INDIANA...AND HANCOCK COUNTY IN KENTUCKY AROUND 130 AM EST...OR 1230 AM CST.
HEAVY RAIN REDUCING VISIBILITIES...AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS.
12:29 AM -- Looking at the latest radar trends, we are seeing several bowing segments in the line, which can cause damaging winds. This is occuring on the northern portion of line which will bring that risk into SW Indiana and even as far east into Southern portions of Indiana. We are starting to see signs of what we call "cool pooling", which are are some signs of a weakening trend. It is important to note that we sometimes see the highest wind gusts at the peak weakening trend so that is something we will need to monitor over the next few hours. We are keeping a close eye on it...
12:21 AM -- Winds are beginning to increase here locally with gusts up to 32 mph in Metro Louisville, 39 mph in Bowling Green, and 36 mph in Ft Know. This is a sign that the squall line is nearing the area within the next couple of hours.
12:17 AM -- Looking at the latest Rapid Refresh Model, here is where the squall line will be located around 3 am. As you can see, it is beginning to approach the I 65 corridor which is lining up well with our latest thinking of 2-4 am.
12:06 AM -- First set of warnings are now out for western areas in Kentucky, including Evansville. They are forecasting winds up to 80 mph. We are watching radar trends, which is showing some signs of weakening as it moves east but for the most part, we do expect severe weather to remain a threat as it moves through the I 65 corridor.
11:50 PM -- The wind is really causing some problems back out to the west. Reports of numerous tree limbs down along with power outages. There is a report of an injury west of the Paducah area caused by the wind as well as reports of atleast 3 people trapped in a closet but details are uncertain. More information will be posted as it comes through the chatrooms out of the Paducah area.
11:35 PM -- As you can see, the number of storm reports to the west has increased from a few hours ago. As we have seen just to the west of us, the winds are impressive and are causing numerous power outages and even some downed trees and minor damage. We continue to keep a close eye on the radar.
11:30 PM -- Here is the latest statement from SPC:
INTENSE SQUALL LINE EXTENDS FROM CENTRAL IL INTO SOUTHEAST MO. THESE STORMS WILL RACE EASTWARD OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE WATCH AREA. EXTREMELY STRONG LOW LEVEL WINDS WILL PROMOTE A RISK OF WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS...DESPITE VERY LIMITED INSTABILITY. ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL ALSO REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG THE LEADING EDGE OF THE SQUALL LINE.
11:15 PM -- Numerous reports of high wind gusts being reported to the west. Reports ranging from 50 to even 70 mph gusts! This is a pretty impressive line as it moves off to the east. So far, no major damage reports but power outages are beginning to come in from these high wind gusts. The tornado warnings have now decreased but areas of rotation are still showing up along the line, which is what we will be keeping a close eye on throughout the night.
11:10 PM -- Our latest thinking on the timing for severe weather tonight:
west of I 65 -- between 1-2 am along I 65 -- between 2-4 am east of I 65 - between 4-6 am
10:41 PM -- JUST IN: A TORNADO WATCH is now in effect for most of our viewing area until 5:00 am EST. Many tornado warnings are now being issued a long this line. We do expect this to become more linear as time progresses.
**** MAKE SURE TO CLICK "REFRESH" ON THIS PAGE TO SEE THE LATEST INFO AS IT IS BEING TYPED IN LIVE ALL NIGHT LONG *******
2:29 PM--- Awaiting conf. call to start....
2:31 PM--- call starts
2:31 PM- torando watches all the way up to St Louis
2:31 PM -- winds are the main threat. 70 mph +
2:32 PM-- scattered torandoes are possible....referencing a similar threat to Jan/Feb 2008 events
2:33 PM-- 11pm moves in from the west
2:33 PM- 2-4am around Louisville area
2:33 PM-- 3-5am east of Louisville
2:34 PM-- The line will be huge..from OHIO to the Gulf Coast
2:35 PM-- Confidence is HIGH for severe weather...it is the TIMING that will need to be adjusted some as we closer.
2:36 PM-- now taking questions from emergency managers and medial personnel
2:36 PM-- "How strong will the winds be?" ANS: Wind Advisory with gusts up to 40 mph. The storms could produce up to 70 mph
2:37 PM- "Will this be another March 2nd? ANS: No, not even the same setup.
2:38 PM- JCPS asking about schools...as they will be monitoring the overnight trends. NO decisions made.
2:38 PM- "Will these be straight-line winds?" ANS: Yes..the is the main threat
2:39 PM- "Will this line impact SE KY? ANS: All will feel the effects from one end of the state to the other.
2:40 PM- The line will be moving at 50-60 mph so it will be quick shot at storms.
2:41 PM- "Are you expecting 70 mph winds along the ENTIRE line?" ANS: No, the strongest storms will have a risks of 70 mph +
2:42 PM- Concern about winds staying gusting tomorrow so that crews can repair powerlines.
2:43 PM- "Will we see more tornado warnings issues than svr as a precaution due to the strong wind fields? ANS: that situation will be looked at later.
3:11 PM -- awaiting update from SPC..will be posted shortly.
3:17 PM -- SPC has moved the hatched area for damaging wind gusts a tad further NE to include most areas along and west of I65 (including Louisville). This means that wind gusts of 70+ mph is possible within 25 miles of a given point.
3:32 PM -- Latest wind shear forecast shows values around 45 kts near Central Ky with higher values of 55-65 kts to the west near 2:00 AM. Values of atleast 40 kts are concerning for severe weather potential. We will be monitoring these values closely.
3:40 PM -- Here is the latest wording from SPC:
IT STILL APPEARS THAT A SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT MAY EVOLVE ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY INTO WRN PORTIONS OF THE TN AND OH VALLEYS...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING INTO TONIGHT. THIS INCLUDES THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES...A FEW OF WHICH COULD BE STRONG AND NUMEROUS DAMAGING WIND EVENTS.
3:52 pm -- In addition to the severe weather that is expected, heavy rain will be a concern once the squall line moves over your area. NWS has stated that 1 to 2 inches (localized higher amounts) of rainfall will be possible in a short period of time. Due to this, ponding on roadways and isolated flash flooding will be possible during the morning rush hour. We will keep a close eye on that.
4:00 PM -- Here is the latest update from NWS Louisville:
Temperatures remaining in the 60s through the night will mean that a squall line that forms out of the storms to our west this afternoon will find a favorable environment to maintain itself through the forecast area. Low level wind shear is mostly unidirectional, but storm relative helicities are very high. We may see some discrete cells develop ahead of the line which would be able to take more advantage of more southerly winds ahead of the line to produce tornadoes. The line itself likely will produce damaging winds as the strong winds aloft get mixed down. Also cannot rule out some embedded tornadoes within the line in the stronger meso`s that form.
4:30 PM -- Latest satelite view is showing some breaks in the clouds with the sun trying to peak out in spots. Any sun will warm our atmosphere up some.
4:32 PM -- Severe weather is now underway to the west with a tornado warning in effect near St Louis. Tornado Watches have been issued to the west. We will be quiet here locally the next few hours but keeping a close eye on the radar for any storm development ahead of the main line later tonight. It is those small cells that break out ahead with the most concern for any rotation.
5:02 PM -- So far, not many reports of damage yet to the west but we do expect this entire line to increase in coverage and intensity. Most reports at this time are wind damage reports.
5:45 PM -- SW Jefferson County Schools in Southern Indiana will be running on a 2 hour delay tomorrow morning due to the potential for severe weather during the morning commute.
6:12 PM -- Latest data is still showing increased wind shear values of around 60-65 kts overnight with a smal area of 70 kts. Remember, all you need for severe weather is atleast 40 kts so there is plenty of shear to raise some concern for wind damage and isolated tornadoes as this line moves through.
6:20 PM -- First report of tornado damage out of Marthasville, MO. Here is the damage summary from SPC:
SIDING DAMAGE ... 16 FOOT STRIPS BLOWN ONE QUARTER MILE DOWNWIND ... OVERHANG BLEW OFF SHED ... PICKED UP WATER TANKS AND MOVED THEM ... TREE TOPS SHREDDED
7:12 PM -- Quiet weather locally for the next several hours. Severe weather continues to progress back to the west where numerous Tornado Watches are in effect. A lot of reports of wind damage and 1 report of tornado damage near St Louis. We are still expecting this line to move through western areas after midnight and Louisville Metro between 2-4 am before moving off to the east. We will be watching the radar closely for any storm development ahead of the main squall line. This is where the most concern would be for any rotation/isolated tornadoes.
7:23 PM -- JUST IN: SPC will likely issue a WATCH soon for western areas. We are keeping an eye on the trends carefully.
7:30 PM -- Here is the thinking from SPC regarding the likelihood of a watch being issued for western areas:
A LINE OF TSTMS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE PROGRESSING EWD...GRADUALLY INCREASING IN STRENGTH AS IT ENCOUNTERS A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT. PRIMARY THREAT IS DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BUT THE STRENGTH OF THE SHEAR SUGGESTS A FEW BRIEF TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.
7:47 PM -- New data regarding the amount of shear we will have in the atmosphere when the storms move through. It is still looking likely that around 60-65 kts will be common which is impressive. There is still potential as you can see in the middle of 70 kt wind shear a loft later tonight. We will continue to keep an eye on the radar trends.
8:11 PM LATEST updated from SPC...here is the latest statement regarding our area:
...OH VALLEY... A SQUALL-LINE IS CURRENTLY ONGOING FROM ECNTRL IL SWWD ACROSS SE MO LOCATED IN THE EXIT REGION OF A PRONOUNCED 70 TO 80 KT MID-LEVEL JET. AS THIS JET EJECTS NEWD ACROSS THE OH VALLEY THIS EVENING...DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO STRENGTHEN. THIS COMBINED WITH STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT SHOULD ENABLE THE SQUALL-LINE TO ORGANIZE WITH THE LINE MOVING EWD ACROSS IND AND WRN KY LATE THIS EVENING. INCREASING LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY COMBINED WITH VERY STRONG FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SFC...SHOULD ENABLE THE SQUALL-LINE TO BECOME AN EFFICIENT WIND DAMAGE PRODUCER. AS SFC DEWPOINTS GRADUALLY INCREASE INTO THE LOWER 60S F ACROSS PARTS OF THE OH VALLEY...A TORNADO THREAT WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ESPECIALLY WITH ROTATING CELLS EMBEDDED IN THE LINE.
8:23 PM -- JUST IN: SPC has issued a Tornado Watch for far western areas of Ky until 2 am EST. More watches are most likely to be issued further east as time progresses. We are keeping a close eye on the radar.
8:51 PM (KH) -- FROM THE NWS PADUCAH ...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK IMMINENT... A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR SOUTHEAST MISSOURI... SOUTHERN ILLINOIS & FAR WESTERN KENTUCKY UNTIL 1 AM. A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE OZARK FOOTHILLS OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI WILL INCREASE IN STRENGTH AS IT ACCELERATES EASTWARD. THE LINE OF STORMS IS FORECAST TO CROSS SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS BETWEEN 8 PM AND MIDNIGHT. THE LINE WILL CONTINUE EASTWARD ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF OUR REGION BETWEEN 10 PM AND 4 AM.
THE POTENTIAL FOR WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL INCREASE AS THIS LINE OF STORMS PROGRESSES EASTWARD. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL IS POSSIBLE.
A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP EAST ACROSS OUR REGION LATE TONIGHT INTO THE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING HOURS. IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT...GUSTY SOUTH WINDS ARE BRINGING WARM AND HUMID AIR INTO THE AREA. THE CLASH OF THESE TWO AIR MASSES WILL RESULT IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS ALSO POSSIBLE...WHICH COULD PRODUCE SOME MINOR FLOODING PROBLEMS IN LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. LATEST INDICATIONS ARE THAT 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE LIKELY... WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS POSSIBLE.
STAY TUNED FOR LATER FORECASTS AND STATEMENTS ON THIS POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION.
8:59 PM (KH) -- The WAVE 3 Storm Tracking Team is here to keep you up-to-date. We've put our severe weather congingency plan into action... we're all hands on deck overnight as storms approach. I've been asked a number of questions...
#1. Is this anything like March 2nd? Answer: No... completely different. And even though there's a slight chance for spin-up tornadoes - there will not be large damaging tornadoes. With that said - the main threat will be strong winds.
#2. Will everyone see damage? Answer: No... there will likely be areas that bow out as the line strengthens and moves across the area in a very sheared environment... those bowing segments will produce winds in excess of 70 - 80 MPH and very well could produce some damage. However, that will not occur everywhere.
#3. Will there be school Wednesday? Answer: Yes, though a few school districts have decided to go on a delayed schedule.
#4. What time will the storms arrive? Answer: Here in Louisville I'd say between 3 & 4 AM. Sooner to our northwest and later to our southeast.
9:10 PM (KH) -- The latest weather information. The shear remains impressive across the region. As storm to our west move into the area the line should tighten. The storms will become better organized over the next couple hours. As we've mentioned - the main threat will be damaging winds. With that said, and with the present shear, embedded tornadoes along the line will be possible. Forecast still on track!
9:25 PM -- Tornado is reported on the groun in Little Rock, AR. No word on any damage reports at this time.
*On a side note, Greg Forbes, severe weather expert at the Weather Channel has his TORCON index between a 3 and 5 for our area tonight. Again, the main risk for our storms will be damaging winds and an isolated brief tornado.
9:46 PM -- Tornado damage is being reported near the Natural Dam in Arkansas. Reports of trees down and a trained spotter reported a tornado touchdown.
9:50 PM -- Here is the latest HRRR run for tonight. As you can see, the squall line is shown moving through the area aound 5 am. Timing is not exact but our forecast of 2-4 am still looks on track for Louisville Metro with western areas after midnight.
10:00 PM -- Latest wind shear forecast is still impressive with around 65 kts when the storms arrive. Reminder that anything above 40 kts supports severe weather (mostly damaging winds)
10:02 PM -- A tornado warning has now been issued just west of Paducah. This was radar indicated. Winds have been on the increase in this area as the squall line has been nearing the area and increasing in intensity and coverage.
10:10 PM -- With any potential severe weather event, especially during the overnight hours when most are asleep there are a 5 important things to remember before you head to bed:
1) Plug in your NOAA weather radio 2) Download the Wave3 mobile app where you can access the up to date weather blog and radar 3) Be sure to have a flashlight and extra batteries on hand in the case of power outages 4) Remember that we will simulcast on 840 WHAS Radio if a tornado warning is issued 5) We will do live updates on air at every top and bottom of the hour
10:30 PM -- JUST IN: SPC now has our entire area under a mesoscale discussion. A watch will be required soon as severe weather increases with damaging winds and isolated tornadoes possible.
10:35 PM -- Thanks to those who have been reading the blog. We have taken your suggestion and will begin a new blog post once the watch is issued. This new blog post will continue to have up constant updates as we head throughout the night. ________________________________ Have you "LIKED" us on facebook yet? Now is your chance!
Today will be cloudy, windy and warm... all in all not a bad day. The winds will be gusty late this afternoon, tonight and tomorrow as we will be under a WIND ADVISORY. The storms will move in tonight... mainly after 9pm. Some of those storms could be severe. Enjoy the warm weather while it lasts because the temperatures will be dropping tomorrow. In fact, we could see a few snowflakes tomorrow evening.
Besides the warm temperatures, the next thing you'll notice from this approaching system is the gusty wind. It will really start to pick up around lunch time and winds could gust up to 40mph later tonight and tomorrow. These winds could cause wind damage and power outages.
The timing of the cold front will bring the strongest storms and the heaviest rain between midnight and 7am. Bad timing for the morning commute. We could pick up an inch of rain (give or take) as this system moves through.
We are under a slight risk of severe weather as the storms move in. Our main threat will be damaging winds, but we also have a small tornado threat as well. With the timing of these storms moving in while many will be sleeping, tonight would be a good night to turn on the weather radio and make sure the batteries are charged up.
You may want to get the flashlight ready (just in case) and set the cell phone alarm to wake you up instead of the alarm clock that plugs into the wall.
Because these storms will be moving through when our Sunrise newscast is about to start, we have decided to go on early tomorrow morning. The whole crew will be here to go on the air at 4am (instead of 4:30am) just to get a jump start on the storm coverage and the impact it will have on the roads for your morning commute. See you in the morning!
We are all however in the risk for severe storms with this event.
This afternoon---it will be quite mild for January 28th with temps nearing 60 in spots later. There are s few downpours out there now in the SW flow, but the shear is well to our west--so no worries on severe this afternoon.
That will change Tuesday night.
TIMING: It has slowed a bit on the GFS/NAM...it looks like 9z is the target time...which is 4am EST. However, if the squall-line taps into the winds aloft---the timing may speed up a bit. So we remains with a midnight Wed to sunrise Wed morning as the main period of the threat from one end of our viewing area to the other.
WINDS: This system will certainly have the wind with it. I will say the models have eased a bit on the winds aloft compared to yesterday---but still quite potent.
Winds aloft...
NAM GFS
Both showing the risk for potential winds translated to the ground on the order of 60 to 70 mph.
INSTABILITY: As usually the case in winter, it is low. We have plenty of moisture moving in---just lack of solar heating. Still, CAPES are high enough (roughly 200 j/kg) that the clouds can build up to the level of tapping into the winds aloft posted above.
Capes....
NAM GFS
THREATS: Heavy rain. Lightning. Damaging winds in the range of 60-70 mph possible. And the NAM EHI scans below show some risk for isolated tornadoes embedded in the line. They would be small/brief---but still have to be watched.
SUMMARY: This is a typical winter severe weather threat. I mentioned yesterday that the storms have a risk to be elevated somewhat to protect us from the strong winds being pushed to the surface. That is still possible giving the late night timing---but I would strongly caution that is not certain---so we need to prepare for a high wind event regardless. Even before and after the storms arrive---it will be windy with winds gusting to 40 mph at times. There will be a threat of power outages even with those winds. Rain amounts likely to exceed 1.00" in spots. Any training of the storms could push a few of u closer to 2.00".
SHOULD YOU BE CONCERNED? This won't be a huge severe weather outbreak, but there is concern for those high winds to push downward. We have a wet ground still in place, so it wouldn't take much to take down a tree. The timing is bad with overnight/early morning. Rush hour Wednesday morning may be messy with flooded roadways and traffic light outages---so plan for extra time. Just have your NOAA radios plugged in. We will be here all night long watching it for you guys. Let's hope the ingredients don't line up as indicated---and this weakens. We have seen that happen many times before certainly.
ANY SNOW? Temps will crash on Wednesday...but they will battle solar heating too. So it may be a gradual crash at first...and speeds up near sunset. It will be at that point that we cool down aloft enough that we may see the changeover to snow. GFS hints at around 7pm.
There looks to be a comma-head on the back side of this low. That will graze southern MO, into IL/IN and then into OH. How far south it reaches will determine any snow from that. It would be our only shot at minor accumulations. Otherwise---nothing to talk about with this snow chance.
CLIPPER TIME The first one is slated for late Thursday/early Friday. It has trended weak the past several runs. It has not entered the grid yet of the upper air network---so I don't think the models fully have this one pegged. Nevertheless--it looks light...but timing near the morning rush Friday will have to be watched for slick spots.
The next clipper actually looks stronger...and colder ...for Saturday. EURO especially spits out advisory level snow for the region. GFS is a bit warmer with the profile...and hints at a mix. Still early yet on that one. But something to watch.
That is it for now as the severe storm threat needs our attention the next 36 hours. Then we will talk about wintry issues.
Lots to discuss with the week ahead. So I will break it down into parts...as it will be one heck of a weather story this week to tell.
PART I The Warm Front
Impact timing: Later tonight/early Monday
The front is spreading a band a rain in advance of it now across IL. It is running up against the cold air in place and lending hand to a freezing rain event in that area.
Thankfully, for us, we will see enough warming to help get us above 32 by midday. I think it will be close for areas to the north/northwest of Louisville---so I will monitor that the next few hours. The good news---this is a warming event---so any icing threat will be short-lived as we warm well into the 40s later today. I went on the higher end of model guidance to near 50. We usually warm up well with warm fronts. We won't drop much tonight as a south wind takes over. That will lead to a mild Monday with highs in the mid to perhaps upper 50s. Any rain activity looks spotty and relatively light. Many areas likely will stay dry on Monday the way it is looking now.
PART II Near Record Warmth
Impact timing: Tuesday afternoon
We will move firmly into the warm sector of the storm system on Tuesday. How much the clouds thin will determine our high that day. With cloudy skies....mid 60s are likely.
Any sunshine will push us closer to 70. The record high for Louisville that day is 73. Right now, that looks safe to me.
PART III Severe Storm Threat
Impact timing: after 11:00 Tuesday night- 5:00 Wednesday morning
The models are in pretty good agreement that a wave of heavy rain/storms will pass through the region. But there are some setup differences that will impact areas of greatest concern. First off----the main pieces of energy are displaced when looking at GFS vs NAM. GFS has the vort max riding along the cold front and digging through the Ohio Valley across TN.
Tornado threat would be found just ahead of that with a strong risk for damaging winds to the north of that across our region.
The NAM has the vort much more to the south. Tornado threat would be pretty high across MS/AL with the NAM. We would have a high wind threat---but not as intense as if the vort were closer. Interestingly enough, the NAM idea would likely lead to an area of low pressure that would track across eastern TN---and could even enhance a closed low snow threat on the NW side of that low across KY/TN before precip ends.
Instability is hard to come by for late January---especially during a nocturnal event. That isn't unusual. But the thing to keep in mind as you only need a small amount to create a severe weather event.
Latest GFS instability for Tuesday-day is pretty decent to our west.
By late Tuesday night---it drops off quite a bit to about 150-200. Not impressive---but there is a chance the models are too low with these values at this early stage.
But here is the concern---the winds aloft. Quite impressive indeed! The wind fields aloft would exceed 90 kts just above our heads when the storms pass through.
That could easily give the line of storms a wind gust potential of at least 70 mph! But before we take that info too far----we do have a saving grace in our area with these events. Sometimes we see an inversion that never allows the winds to drop all the way to the surface. In the past 2 years---I have seen that be the case about 70% of the time. However---it is that other 30% that concerns meteorologists in these setups. If we start hearing of high wind gusts and/or wind damage to our west as the line approaches---it is safe to say that there is no block for those winds and red flags should be raised.
Latest SPC outlook for Tuesday is just to our west---- in theory--that threat will head east overnight.
This is just one of those setups that we won't really have a good handle on until Tuesday to get weather balloons in the air that day to sample how things are lining up. So right now we are just talking *potential* and trying to give a heads up to stay tuned for updates---whether good or bad ---with this threat.
PART IV The Rain Ending as Snow
Impact timing: Wednesday night
This goes into the discussion I pointed out above about whether or not we have a closed low nearby or just a cold front. If just a front---a typical rain ending as light snow and shutting off would be likely. Little to any accumulation with that. If a closed low does pass to our SE---we may see a more organized backlashing of snow with a better chance at accumulation. I have seen support for both ideas on various models. So right now--we are just stating rain ending as snow as specifics are too challenging at this early stage.
PART V Clipper # 1
Impact timing: Late Thursday night/early Friday
This would really be our first true clipper of the season. It will dive across MO..then head due east toward VA by early Friday.
We will have a very cold air mass in place---so snow ratios look to be very close to 20:1 right now. This mean .10" of liquid could produce a couple inches of snow. GFS/EURO vary on the track a bit with this ...and how much moisture.
But I think for some in our area---this would be the first accumulation of the season---and perhaps the heaviest thus far. Clippers are interesting around here. Usually fully of surprises and can "overachieve". Something to watch as we get closer.
PART VI Clipper # 2
Impact timing: Saturday night
Right now, this one looks to not dig as far as # 1-----so we plan to keep the track to our north. I had small snow chance this morning for Saturday---but that could be removed if the northern track holds.
PART VII Chinook Winds
The longer term is interesting. There appears to be a trough that will get stuck over the eastern USA. We would be on the edge of this.
On the western side...there is a huge ridge all the way up into Canada. This leads to easterly winds down the Rockies---called the Chinook Winds. These are compressing winds that downslope off the mountains into the Plains. These can be "snow eaters" if there is a snow pack.
I am still trying to figure out how far east the impact of the Chinook Winds will be for us---as the trough over the east may keep a firm gripe on our area. Just a tough call this early.
AO is showing signs of dropping again---so the Polar Vortex continues to be on the move.
And the PNA remains slightly positive---which means any cold that develops...can be long lasting.
Interestingly enough---I checked the latest on El Nino/La Nina---and we have been in a weak La Nina as of late.
Okay..hand is hurting from typing. That is all for now :)
SPC (storm prediction center) has placed a large area under the gun for severe storms on Tuesday. This lies just to the west of our viewing area.
The breakdown of risk has our area in the 5% with 15% in the slight risk zone. SPC has noted that the area of 30% may get upgraded to the year's first MODERATE risk for severe storms. That looks to be just to our south/southwest out our counties at this time. In fact, AR/LA/MS/AL may be looking at a significant tornado outbreak.
The storms will lose some punch as they approach us after midnight Tuesday....but I still feel the wind fields are so impressive with this system that we will have watches/warnings to deal with as we head into the overnight hours. SPC does not have us listed in an outlook at the moment due to the timing of their graphics. But in all reality---in their discussion and our thoughts as well---we are in the zone for severe storms overnight Tuesday.
More on this threat later this morning (Sunrise show is on air 5-8am) today--- and a SnowTALK! will be issued later for what I feel is our best shot of an accumulating snow event this season so far. More to come.
This post will focus brief only the storm threat this upcoming week. I will post more on the cold that will follow that along with snow chances on tomorrow morning's post.
SHORT TERM: Fog is clearing up ...temps should get above freezing today. So any ice issues to the south/east should ease today.
SUNDAY: The next surge of moisture pushes in tomorrow afternoon/evening. Data still indicates we will warm enough to keep this event all RAIN. Latest NAM supports that. Ice up to the north in IL.
MONDAY the rain will passe through in waves..but should really be spotty enough to dry out by afternoon/night.
TUESDAY looks windy and warm. I went 68 for a high. That still may be too low if sunshine is more realized. That is hard to get this time of the year for many hours however. Whether it is 62 ...65 or 68...it will feel goode!!
It will be LATE TUESDAY NIGHT that storms move in. Likely somewhere from 11pm through 5am.
Instability is low as usually the case overnight---but there is enough there that clouds could reach into the strong wind fields aloft.
Those wind belt is quite strong over our heads at that time. So damaging winds would be the main threat.
SPC , for now, is keeping any risk to our SOUTH/SOUTHWEST for this front. I think that is okay for now---but I caution that if more instability can be realized---that will need to change. Just too early yet.
More on the cold/snow chances tomorrow. Enjoy the sunshine today!
The wintry mix moving through WAVE Country is causing some major problems on the roads. Right now I-65 northbound and southbound is closed due to cars sliding off the road. I-64 eastbound in Crawford County is closed near mile marker 83 is closed due to a semi overturned. Road conditions may be bad through the day with temperatures barely warming up above freezing.
A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY is in effect for a portion of WAVE Country, and an ICE STORM WARNING is in effect for Hart, Green, Taylor and Adair Counties. A sheet of ice has been reported in South Central Kentucky along with many accidents on the roads.
The wintry mix tapers off in the early afternoon, but temperatures stay cold all day. Due to the cold temperatures, we may have icy driving conditions through the night and dangerous driving conditions possible tomorrow morning in South Central KY again.