1) Sunday (light snow chance) Twix Scale 0-10
Overall a pretty quiet pattern as we head into the weekend. We are about to see a shakeup in our weather pattern as we head into next week. But for you snow lovers--- winter is showing up again in the offing...so enjoy whatever warmth we have coming.
I have hinted at the trough moving through the Ohio Valley over the weekend needed to be watched for any interaction from the low across the Gulf states. The models come/go with this...but the pattern overall would support some type of connection. Today, the NAM/GFS are starting to show some of that connection---but not exactly a full -on phasing of the two features. So nothing alarming showing up. Right now--looks to be light snow.
EURO is seeing the trend.
NAM came around to the idea today with the latest run...but can only go out to early Sunday so I can't see future interaction.
GFS is active with the trough moreso than with the gulf low...still give light amounts of snow.
The GFS ensembles show the link trying to build up into the Ohio Valley.
Overall---not a huge event---but these can catch some off guard if the low/moisture content grows in time. Just something we are watching as a side note.
Otherwise...we are things up next week. 50s likely.
But the trend toward a series of low pressures...one could even be a cutoff low----near the 10th. It is after that we appears to head back into a pattern we are coming out of. Marginal cold...active storm track. More headaches. Here is the EURO below. I didn't post the GFS as it is quite cold/snowy. But GFS usually is in the long term it seems.
I will touch base more on the pattern for January when I work again this weekend.