1) Wednesday night (light snow) 1/2 twix bar on a scale 0f 0-10
2) March 6th (one to watch)
3) March 10th (another one to keep an eye on)
It is STORM WEEK on WAVE this week.
While the weather is quite different compared to last year at this time---it is important that we remember those affected and how there is still much to do. Yes, Henryville and West Liberty KY were hit hard---but it is those smaller communities that we also visited that really are struggling with clean-up. We will be in the parade this Saturday in Henryville..so I hope everyone from all over can join us. You will need a coat!
RAIN IN THE MORNING
Quite a bit of rain/thunder/wind tomorrow morning. The models seem to be aiming at the morning rush through about 1 or 2pm as the main period of heavy rain/wind. Use caution on the roads in the morning.
By evening, colder air will start working in aloft as the upper low takes over.
This is when the colder air will really start sinking south aloft. Convective snow showers wrapping around this upper low will should start to light up the radar.
The soundings show the best chance for snow will be in the evening hours.
The NAM snowmap does show the risk for pockets of 1" of snow here and there. Perhaps a bit more if you get a heavy heavy snow shower. Most of this looks limited to grassy areas at this point. But we will watch that for the Thursday morning commute.
Snow showers will be likely off/on through Friday...especially along and east of I 65.
By the weekend, the cold air stretches its legs all the way to Florida!! Snowflakes may even fly there. Crazy huh?!
MARCH 6th looks interesting.
There is a digging shortwave that will dive into the area. GFS hints at some snow with this.
EURO has a much more pronounced low moving to our south. That would mean snow for us. We will watch the trends on this as not all the models support this track/intensity of the shortwave just yet.
This continues to be a period a southern tracking low will be in the region. Too early to know how much rain/snow will be involved...but the low has potential to become a winter storm for the Ohio/TN Valleys...so we will keep an eye on this baby.
Overall---the month of march looks colder and snowier than normal. I still stand by my statement Sunday that we could see more snow in March than we have all winter. I may be wrong of course...but not as wrong as the Groundhog was certaintly :)
NOTE: I will be out the rest of the week due to a death in the family. I will update my facebook page when I can. See you guys Saturday morning!