Pretty quiet this afternoon with a band of very light rain (some sleet) passing through. Temps are warming up nicely into the 40s as expected.
We will stay in the 40 degree range all night tonight. The rain surge will kick in late...likely after midnight. Even some thunder expected just in time for the morning commute tomorrow.
We will be in the "dry slot" of the storm Tuesday afternoon. Mostly dry..with some drizzle.
Then by Tuesday evening---we will start the transition to snow. I circled the area of heavy snow..well to our north.
By Wednesday morning (toward rush hour) ...light snow should be all over the place. Bad timing.
Amounts will highly depend on any banding on the back side of this upper low. The heaviest still looks to be across central/northern IN into OH. Several inches likely there. For us, we will see the backlash snow showers. Some of the model hint that they may get "hung up" over eastern sections...so I went a bit higher there with totals. Lesser west.
Any banding could easily add another inch to these totals--so we have to watch that carefully. But it looks too isolated to draw onto a map.
The wet ground will help limit accumulations from getting out of hand initially...but temps are likely to dip to around 29/30 for most of us---so slick roads certainly are a risk from about 3am until 8am Wednesday.
So not a huge storm---just a high impact storm with timing. I suspect an advisory will be issued for that reason alone. But that is the NWS to decide.
We will keep you updated....and yes, the 60s are still in store for late week. Hang in there :)