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8:00PM - FINAL LIVE BLOG UPDATE - Brian will have the updated forecast for you tonight on WAVE 3 News after Sunday Night Football. THANK YOU FOR WATCHING & TRUSTING THE WAVE 3 STORM TRACKING TEAM FOR YOUR MOST ACCURATE FORECAST!
7:56PM - Record rainfall of 2.48" was set at Indianapolis today - breaking the old record of 1.97" set in 1886.
7:52PM - ALL WARNINGS have expired in the WAVE 3 viewing area
7:49PM - Unofficially, over 75 tornado reports today. Similar high risk outbreaks have occured in 2002 & 2005. We're still running well below average, in facet 100 BELOW all time record low tornado year. (J. Bastardi)
7:41PM - Severe Thunderstorm WARNING canceled for Green & Taylor Cos... continues for Adair
7:32PM - The only warning in the WAVE 3 viewing area are for Green, Taylor & Adair Cos., until 7:50 - strong winds are still possible in southern Green & Taylor and northern Adair Cos.
7:30PM - ALL CLEAR for southern Indiana - the threat of severe weather has ended in that area
7:25PM - The tornado threat is rapidly diminishing across the area.
7:20PM - Severe Thunderstorm WARNING issued for GREEN & ADAIR COS., KY until 7:50PM
6:45 PM - The cold front responsible for today's messy weather is knocking on our door. Much cooler, drier, and more importantly, storm-free weather is coming our way after it passes!
6:31 PM - The line of storms near Carrollton is trying to connect now to one just northwest of Louisville. This is something to watch for a wind/heavy rain threat over the next hour. The atmosphere here is pretty worked over at this point but spots closer to and just south of Louisville that haven't seen as much action may have some atmospheric fuel left to get stronger storms going again.
6:26 PM - New Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Carroll Co, KY until 7pm. Storms moving east at 60 mph could produce wind gusts to 70 mph. This is part of that northern line mentioned earlier here on the blog. The very southern portion of Hart County is under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 5:50pm CST with winds to 60 mph there.
Clark Co, IN - 2
Jackson Co, IN - 771
Jennings Co, IN - 123
Lawrence Co, IN - 170
Orange Co, IN - 1
Jefferson Co, KY - 42
6:07 PM - 65 reports of tornadoes just to our north and west as well as nearly 200 wind reports. We are lucky that a lot of this has stayed just outside of our area but continue to keep those who lost so much today in Illinois and Indiana in our thoughts. We're still under a Tornado Watch until 10 PM and will let you know if that changes.
5:56 PM - SPLIT LINES: Much of our area lies in between two areas of storms. But that doesn't mean you need to let your guard down. The line to the north moving through Washington, Scott, and Jefferson Co, IN can still produce some strong winds. South of the viewing area tornado potential continues. Watching though for the potential for a more connected squall line to form southward from the northern one... not exactly how that will play out yet. We're keeping you up-to-date!
5:48 PM - Watching the line of severe storms in Southern Indiana stretching from North Vernon to Paoli. This line is moving FAST and could pack wind gusts to 70 mph. The tail-end may pass just north of the Louisville Metro.
5:44 PM - Non-severe storms in Leitchfield in Grayson County now moving eastward. We're watching out for you guys, too! Tornado-warned storms south of that area out of our viewing area and not moving toward us.
5:40 PM - Severe storms moving into the Seymour area earlier made for quite a scary sight. A portion of this line moving into Orange County is moving eastward at 95 mph!!! (Right - Meisha Grigsby, Seymour | Left - Jannetta Reece, Seymour)
5:35 PM - No Severe Thunderstorm Warning for the storm moving into Louisville, but this could be a strong one with gusty winds and very heavy rain. All Tornado Warnings have been allowed to expire in Kentuckiana at this time.
5:31 PM - This is shifting from a tornado threat to a wind damage threat across Kentuckiana. A line of severe storms packing damaging winds is developing from Seymour to Dubois Co, IN. We're also watching the storm moving into Louisville from the west in Harrison Co, IN... this storm is losing its severe punch a bit though.
5:29 PM - 2 people were killed earlier this afternoon in the Washington Co, Indiana tornado.
5:25 PM - 3 areas of concern right now. 1) Tornado Warning in Jefferson Co, IN until 5:35 PM, 2) Developing line of severe storms moving into Lawrence, Jackson, Orange, and Washington Counties in Indiana that can produce wind damage with gusts up to 70 mph, 3) Severe storm moving closer to the Louisville Metro over the next few minutes.
5:20 PM - Scott County's Tornado Warning has been canceled. Jefferson County, IN is under a Tornado Warning still until 5:35 PM. This storm isn't looking as intense or organized on radar.
5:18 PM - Brief look at the visible satellite before the sun goes down. Notice the space between these storms where the sun is peaking out. That's helping to reintensify a few of the storms that have been cycling between weak and intense stages.
5:15 PM - NWS statement on storms moving toward Louisville. Scroll down for radar image.
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WITH DANGEROUS LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN... AND AT LEAST 50 MPH WINDS WILL THREATEN THE LOUISVILLE METRO... AT 510 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE FROM CORYDON TO 12 MILES WEST OF BRANDENBURG...MOVING EAST AT 60 MPH. OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL RAIN...AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS TO AT LEAST 50 MPH ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS. * THESE STORMS WILL IMPACT... LOUISVILLE METRO... NEW ALBANY... CLARKSVILLE...
5:10 PM - Small line of storms moving toward Metro Louisville is now severe. Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 5:40pm for Southern Harrison Co, IN and Northern Meade Co, KY. Storm is capable 60 mph wind gusts. We'll need to watch this one for intensification.
5:03 PM - TORNADO WARNING: Northern half of Scott County and Jefferson County, Indiana until 5:35pm. Storm is moving east at 60 mph and is intensifying. No confirmed spotting of a tornado but this is concerning since the storm is isolated from other storms.
5:00 PM - Two lines of storms. One is developing to the west of our area and is severe. The second one is reall more of a mostly non-severe cluster moving through Southern Indiana. The line to the west will eventually catch up to the second and merge, likely east of Louisville. This could increase the damaging wind threat later on.
4:50 PM - NEW TORNADO WARNING: Northern Jennings County is under a Tornado Warning until 5:15pm EST. This is a radar-indicated tornado and the threat is just north of North Vernon.
4:47 PM - All Tornado Warnings have expired for Kentuckiana... BUT... Severe Thunderstorm Warning for parts of Perry/Crawford/Meade Co until 5:05 EST and now a Severe Thunderstorm Warning for Lawrence and Jackson Co, IN until 5:30 PM EST. A line of storms is taking shape to the west of our area and poses a damaging wind threat over the next few hours.
4:37 PM - Perry and south central Crawford Co in Southern Indiana now under a Severe Thunderstorm Warning until 4:05 PM CST/5:05 PM EST. A tornado can't be ruled out but winds to 60 mph are the main threat here.
4:21 PM - Tornado Warning now just west of Orange and Lawrence County associated with a line of storms developing west of the individual supercell storms. A warning may be issued for those two counties in the next few minutes as those storms move east at 60 mph.
4:15 PM - Rotation picking up in the supercell storm moving through Northwest Jackson Co, IN! The spot you see on the right coupled with the red is indicative of rotation in the storm.
4:10 PM - Jackson Co, IN now under a Tornado Warning until 4:45pm due to the storm from Lawrence County, IN moving in. The warning is for areas north of Brownstown and includes Seymour. This storm does not have a confirmed tornado but is definitely one you'll want to go to your safe place for!
4:07 PM - John Humphries at Cambellsville.com reports debris on the roadway in Lawrence County, IN. This might be debris from the tornado that occured just to the west of the area falling from the sky or debris due to straighline winds.
4:03 PM - No further tornado reports from Lawrence Co, IN at this time. 8 counties in Indiana have received tornado damage so far today according to Governor Mike Pence.
3:56 PM - The tornado has lifted in Lawrence Co, IN according to a spotter report but the warning is still in effect until 4:15pm. Keep in your tornado safe place! This storm can still put down a tornado.
3:53 PM - Two storms to watch. One in Lawrence Co, IN with the confirmed tornado and one out to our west out to our west that will be affecting Breckinridge County, KY and Perry County, IN soon.
3:46 PM - Update on Lawrence Co, IN tornado: AT 346 PM EST...A CONFIRMED LARGE AND EXTREMELY DANGEROUS TORNADO WAS LOCATED 11 MILES NORTH OF SHOALS...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 70 MPH.
3:40 PM - TORNADO WARNING for Lawrence County until 4:15pm. This includes Bedford. A large tornado is on the ground, confirmed! The storm is moving northeast at 70 mph.
3:33 PM - Supercell storm that produced the tornado in Knox County, IN (picture just below) continues to move east at 65 mph. Lawrence County be on standby for a possible tornado warning in next few minutes.
3:22 PM - Tornado on the ground in Knox County, Indiana. Lawrence and northern Orange Counties in Indiana need to be on standby for this storm.
(image from Twitter user @spyrokeet)
3:10 PM- the latest day 1 outlook.. couple of points.. the higher chance of strong long tracking tornadoes is across central indiana. There is still a tornado threat farther south across our viewing area as well as significant straight line wind damage. It is still a dangerous situation with our severe threat now looking more likely after dark.
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0202 PM CST SUN NOV 17 2013 VALID 172000Z - 181200Z ...THERE IS A HIGH RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER EXTREME EAST CENTRAL IL...INDIANA...SRN LOWER MI...AND WRN OH... ...THERE IS A MDT RISK OF SVR TSTMS SURROUNDING THE HIGH RISK OVER CENTRAL AND SRN LOWER MI...SERN IL...MUCH OF KY...CENTRAL AND ERN OH...AND WRN PARTS OF NY...PA...AND WV... ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE TN VALLEY INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES AND WRN NEW ENGLAND... ...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER OUTBREAK EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE GREAT LAKES AND OH VALLEY... SEVERE WEATHER SCENARIO IS EVOLVING AS PREDICTED EARLIER WITH A PRIMARY BAND OF SEVERE STORMS EXTENDING FROM WRN LOWER MI SWD TOWARD THE LOWER OH VALLEY. THIS ACTIVITY HAS FEATURED SEVERAL LONG-LIVED TORNADIC SUPERCELLS ACROSS NRN AND CENTRAL IL...WITH OTHER MORE DISCRETE SUPERCELLS FROM SERN MO INTO SRN IL. THE CONVECTIVE MODE APPEARS TO BE TRANSITIONING TOWARD MORE LINEAR STRUCTURES WITH EMBEDDED BOW ECHOES/LEWPS...WHICH MAY HAVE POTENTIAL FOR MESOVORTEX DEVELOPMENT...AS WELL AS OCCASIONAL EMBEDDED SUPERCELL STRUCTURES. THE POTENTIAL FOR TORNADOES /SOME STRONG/ SHOULD CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING...WHILE THE LIKELIHOOD FOR MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS /INCLUDING SIGNIFICANT WIND GUSTS/ IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ACROSS INDIANA...SRN LOWER MI...AND OH THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THIS WILL OCCUR AS THE SEVERE QLCS BEGINS TO ACCELERATE EWD IN RESPONSE TO A 100+ KT MID-LEVEL JET STREAK MOVING TOWARD THE OH VALLEY. AS THE CONVECTIVE SYSTEM CONTINUES EWD TONIGHT...IT WILL GRADUALLY ENCOUNTER A LESS UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER COOLS/STABILIZES AFTER DARK. HOWEVER...THE STRENGTH OF THE DYNAMIC FORCING COUPLED WITH VERY STRONG WINDS AT ALL LEVELS IMMEDIATELY ABOVE THE GROUND INDICATES POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS INTO THE OVERNIGHT HOURS IN ASSOCIATION WITH ONE OR MORE RAPIDLY MOVING LOW-TOPPED QLCS/S.
3:00 PM - Tornado WATCH out now for the Louisville area an Central Kentucky/Southern Indiana until 10:00pm.
2:40 PM- It begins, damaging tornado near Peoria, Illinois fans evacuate Soldier field in 1st quarter of Bears-Ravens football game
2:21PM - Spotter reports tornado in Oran, IL...seek shelter! This is southern IL and may move into SW Indiana or Western KY - worth watching!
2:20PM- Latest SPC analysis shows the main 500mb jet streak STILL has yet to get involved. It will slide quickly into the mix toward evening. That will enhance the risk more for straight-line wind damage over a large area ...tornadoes possible..but this wind field really enhances more of a straight-line wind threat.
2:16PM - Hearing reports of significant damage & possible injuries in Gifford, IL (NE of Champaign)
2:11PM - MESOSCALE DISCUSSION (Storm Prediction Center) - Tornado Threat moving east, northeast.
2:09PM - First Tornado WARNINGS issued for Indiana (Benton Co., IN)
2:07PM - Damage coming in from Washington, IL (homes leveled, trees mangled)
1:54PM- Latest SPC analaysis map shows the Tornado Threat Parameter is about a 4 in SE MO/IL. Anything above 1 raises concern. Notice it is still limted to our west. But this energy is moving east.
1:50PM - Tornado warning just south of Chicago... main rotation should go just south of downtown
1:49PM - Damage reports continue to come in from tornado ravaged Illinois
1:35PM - Fans evacuated from Soldier Field in Chicago due to severe weather
1:35PM - Tornado warnings firing along the line - Tornado Outbreak in progress across Illinois & NW Indiana
1:30PM - Sunshine reported in several places in the viewing area - satellite confirms. This will add fuel for storms later this afternoon/evening.