I will again focus on the setup with this low pressure stalled in our area and the latest expected impacts through the weekend.
But will also touch base on the longer term including some data you BOTS! fans have been pressuring me to address :)
Let's start at the beginning:
The center of the low will be roughly around Cincy today. We will be on the backside of the flow with passing downpours. Any sunshine breaks will only enhance more downpours to develop and also increase the risk for perhaps a lightning strike or two of even pea size hail.
The low will start to drift more south/west by this evening. We will then see the rain bands move in from the east. So look toward Lexington on the radar this evening. That is where our rain will be coming from. That flow should hold through the night.
The low will keep moving west toward Evansville. With the flow around the low being counter-clockwise, that would put the direction of rain approaching from the west/southwest. Some thunderstorms possible. Plan to keep the highs in the mid 60s for now, but some of you along/east of I65 may get enough sun breaks in the SW flow to reach 70 or so.
The low will finally start to move north/east toward Ft. Wayne, IN. At the same time, it will begin to weaken. As that happens, the rain bands will have a farther reach to them, but will also be weaker. I can see one (possibly two) bands of rain passing through the entire region. Timing of that looks to be early/mid afternoon. Any sun breaks could lead to more than one band.
The low will keep trending away from us by Saturday evening with a dry forecast taking over at that point.
Still some clouds (especially north) from time to time with that low, but we should be dry and much warmer with highs in the 70s.
NEXT WEEK: Earliest Alert OUTLOOK:
But the catalyst in the forecast will be the tropics with "Matthew".
The video explains that below: