Yesterday's chase proved to be better than the two days of blue skies we faced earlier in the week. We intercepted a supercell near Breckenridge, TX that had a Tornado Warning on it for a considerable amount of time. The storm merged with others pretty quickly once we got to it and but we were able to chase it for a bit. The mess of the merging storms with the main supercell left us with little option but to go west on I-20 toward Abilene to escape it since the tornado it likely had would have been wrapped in rain without much chance of us seeing it. It was also becoming dangerous to chase since it was descending south toward I-20 very quickly in terrain that was increasingly hill and tree-laden. I managed to get some pictures of the storm and even some time lapse video of our chase. You can find those below.
As of this writing we're near Perryton, Texas, which is at the very tip of the Texas Panhandle near the Oklahoma Panhandle. There's an Enhanced Risk of severe weather today that carries a 5% tornado risk and a 30% hail risk.
We're already seeing some towering cumulus clouds developing up here, which you can see the white dots of on the satellite view on the right. The dryline is making another push and that should help to kick off some supercells in just a few hours from now. Due to a lack of strong wind speed shear, we'll likely see these cells merge together like yesterday at times. Given the directional shear we're seeing a few isolated tornadoes are possible before the storms merge. Instability values are going to be rather high soon so that's why the hail threat seems to be higher than yesterday. The overall territory we're in today has fewer trees and is more flat so the ability for us to see the storms will be better alongside the quality of our navigation around them. This very well could be the best chase day of the week so far!