Overall, our pattern is looking more and more warm...and less and less cold.
In fact, my statement about another snow chance may not come to light. Yes. You read that right, we MAY be done with snowflakes until the fall. :) But notice I said MAY as I like to get past mid April before I feel more certain---but I am about 85% there.
There is a downside to the "less cold" look ahead. We could be very well be setting ourselves up for more of a stormier pattern with severe risks going up.
Latest GFS ensembles matching other indicators that the cold that has been locked in over the NE is showing signs of shifting more west into central and western Canada. This then allows the Plains to warm substantially with warmer surges more frequent to the east. We shall see if this indeed holds, but at least the signs are there for a more spring look to the pattern.
We have been teased with this before only to see the troughs try to surge back east. So that is why I want to wait a bit longer.
Get ready to start mowing that grass like crazy! (if you haven't started already)
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